Analytické recenze forexového trhu

16.04.2025 12:04

Crypto Week: Trump Threatens China with 245% Tariffs, NVIDIA Distress, Fed is ready to Cut Interest Rates

Bitcoin (BTC) is down slightly by 0.3% to $83,205 this week, retreating from a high of $86,439 on Tuesday. The pullback follows another escalation in the ongoing U.S.–China trade standoff, which continues to generate volatility across global markets. Despite U.S. President Donald Trump slashing tariffs on Chinese electronics from 145% to 20%, China has not signalled a willingness to compromise. Instead, Beijing has ordered domestic airlines to halt purchases of Boeing aircraft—an economic blow that Washington has yet to adequately counter. The U.S.

14.04.2025 12:04

Weekly Focus: Trump Retreats, Powell Speaks, U.S. Retail Sales and Netflix

Anton Bykov

S&P 500 broad market index futures are rising by 1.5% to 5,436 points this week amid ongoing market volatility. However, this upward move is happening at a crucial juncture, as the benchmark has broken above the key support level at 5,410 points. If it manages to hold above this threshold, an accelerated rally towards the 5,750–5,850 point range could unfold rapidly. Several factors are fuelling this optimism. Most notably, U.S. President Donald Trump has unexpectedly reduced tariffs on Chinese electronics to 20.0%.

11.04.2025 12:04

Weekly Summary: Tariff Wars are Raging on Halt

Alexander Boltyan

S&P 500 broad market index futures are up by 4.1% this week, reaching 5,297 points, but volatility remains exceptionally high, leaving markets vulnerable to sharp swings on Friday. Volatility reached 7.0% on both Wednesday and Thursday, highlighting just how fragile investor sentiment is amid escalating geopolitical and economic tensions. The surge in market turbulence was triggered by U.S. President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff offensive, which failed to bring China to heel. Following his so-called “Liberation Day” on 2 April, Trump imposed 34% tariffs on Chinese imports.

09.04.2025 12:04

Crypto Week: Stubborn Bitcoin, 104% Tariff on China and Hope for the Fed

Anton Bykov

Bitcoin (BTC) is down by 1.3% to $77,570 this week, rebounding from a steep 5.5% drop on Monday that saw prices plunge to $74,464. Despite extreme turbulence in global markets, the flagship cryptocurrency has shown surprising resilience, losing 8.5% since April 2’s “Liberation Day” declaration by U.S. President Donald Trump. In contrast, the S&P 500 index has dropped by 11.4% over the same period. Crypto enthusiasts have taken Bitcoin’s performance as a sign of its evolving role as a safe haven asset amid rising global risks. However, historical data paints a more nuanced picture.

07.04.2025 01:04

Weekly Focus: S&P Needs a Break

Alexander Boltyan

S&P 500 broad market index futures plunged by 4.3% to 4,843 points on Monday, intensifying the current market turmoil. The benchmark index fell by 8.9% last week, marking its steepest weekly decline since mid-March 2020. Back then, the Federal Reserve (Fed) stepped in with a full-point interest rate cut to 0.25% and launched a massive asset purchase programme. Although the S&P 500 dropped 35% during that period, the current decline of 21.7% suggests the situation may once again demand extraordinary measures to avert a deeper crisis.

04.04.2025 01:04

Weekly Summary: China Tariffs on U.S., NFP and Powell. Markets Are Bleeding

Anton Bykov

S&P 500 broad market index futures plunged 5.9% to 5,247 points this week, reaching their lowest level since August 2024, as escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China sent markets into turmoil. In response to U.S. President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs, China retaliated with a 34% levy on all U.S. imports, effective April 10, the day after the U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods take effect. This escalation has thrown the stock market into chaos, with the S&P 500 now targeting extreme downside levels at 4,900–5,000 points.

02.04.2025 12:04

Crypto Week: Trump Paused BTC Rally, “Liberation Day” Is Today

Anton Bykov

Bitcoin (BTC) is up 2.0% this week to $84,081, slightly retreating from a 4.0% rise on April 1, when it briefly hit $85,466 on speculation of a softer-than-expected tariff introduction. April 2, dubbed "Liberation Day," marks U.S. President Donald Trump's planned imposition of reciprocal tariffs on all nations that levy duties on U.S. exports. The worst-case scenario suggests a blanket 20% tariff on all U.S. imports, while a more optimistic outlook involves a framework of individual tariffs. These possibilities emerged as BTC traded at $82,500, momentarily easing market pressure.

31.03.2025 12:03

Weekly Focus: Trump’s Worldwide Tariffs, Nonfarm Payrolls and Powell

Anton Bykov

The S&P 500 broad market index futures are down 0.45% to 5,531 points this Monday, following a sharp 2.40% drop on Friday, signalling a critical situation. The benchmark has shifted to a downside formation, targeting 5,360–5,460 points, but the real downside driver—U.S. trade policy—has yet to be fully priced in. President Donald Trump has reaffirmed plans to introduce reciprocal tariffs on every nation imposing tariffs on U.S. goods, with no exceptions.

28.03.2025 02:03

Weekly Summary: Trump Erased S&P 500 Gains, PCE and New Tariffs Ahead

Alexander Boltyan

The S&P 500 futures are up 0.27% to 5,681 points this week, but this gain feels weak after Tuesday’s 2.0% surge. The index pulled back following U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of unexpected tariffs, dipping to 5,671 points and closing the gap—removing a technical barrier for future rallies. Investor sentiment remains fragile. Although the Wall Street Journal attempted to reassure markets by suggesting that the new tariffs might be narrowed, Trump later confirmed a 25% tariff on imported cars and parts from April 2. The S&P 500 dropped 1.

26.03.2025 10:03

Crypto Week: ETF Inflows, Strong April and Many Positive News

Anton Bykov

Bitcoin (BTC) is up 3.7% this week to $88,127, approaching the key resistance zone at $89,000–$91,000. A breakout above this level could reignite Bitcoin’s rally, with market players speculating on a potential spike to $110,000 in the near future. Optimism has been fueled by the Federal Reserve’s decision to slow its balance sheet drawdown from $25 billion to $5 billion per month starting April 1. For the bullish scenario to play out, BTC must decisively clear the $91,000 resistance. The upcoming Core PCE Index release this Friday could act as a catalyst.