Ekonomické zprávy
07.02.2025

U.S. consumer sentiment index unexpectedly declines in early February

A report from the University of Michigan showed on Friday that the preliminary reading for the Reuters/Michigan index of consumer sentiment declined 4.6 per cent m-o-m to 67.8 in early February. This was the lowest reading since July 2024 (66.4).

Economists had expected the indicator would come in at 71.1 this month, unchanged from the January final reading of 71.1.

According to the report, the index of current economic conditions plunged 7.2 per cent m-o-m to 68.7 in February, while the index of consumer expectations dropped 2.9 per cent m-o-m to 67.3. 

The report also revealed that the estimates of year-ahead expected inflation soared from 3.3 per cent in January to 4.3 per cent early this month, the highest level since November 2023 (4.5 per cent). At the same time, the 5-year expected inflation increased from 3.2 per cent to 3.3 per cent., the highest level since June 2008 (3.4 per cent).

Commenting on the latest survey, Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu unveiled that many consumers appear worried that high inflation will return within the next year. “This is only the fifth time in 14 years we have seen such a large one-month rise (one percentage point or more) in year-ahead inflation expectations,” she noted.

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