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Ekonomické zprávy
17.03.2023

Consumer inflation expectations in the UK dropped sharply compared to November

The results of the Bank of England's latest quarterly survey of public attitudes to inflation showed that median expectations of the rate of inflation over the coming year were 3.9%, down from 4.8% in November 2022, when the previous survey was conducted. Meanwhile, inflation expectations for the next 12 months, which are closely monitored by the Bank of England's policymakers, fell by 0.4% to 3.0%. Five-year inflation expectations of consumers also decreased relative to November - to 3% from 3.3%.

The survey also found that 38% of respondents considered the inflation target to be ‘about right’, compared with 35% in November. The proportion of respondents who considered the inflation target "too high" or "too low" was 29% and 14%, respectively.

Regarding the outlook for the Bank of England's monetary policy, 58% of respondents expected a rate hike over the next 12 months, compared with 74% in November. 21% of respondents said they expect rates to remain roughly at the same level over the next 12 months, up from 11% in November.

When asked what would be "better for the economy" - higher interest rates, lower rates or unchanged rates — 16% of respondents said that rates should "rise", compared with 20% in November. 33% of respondents believed that rates should "fall", compared with 30% in November. Meanwhile, 27% of respondents said that interest rates should "remain at the same level", compared with 25% in November.

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