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Ekonomické zprávy
18.01.2022

European session review: USD gains as markets prepare for interest rate hikes in U.S.

TimeCountryEventPeriodPrevious valueForecastActual
07:00United KingdomAverage earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/yNovember4.3%3.8%3.8%
07:00United KingdomAverage Earnings, 3m/y November4.9%4.2%4.2%
07:00United KingdomILO Unemployment RateNovember4.2%4.2%4.1%
07:00United KingdomClaimant count December-95.1 -43.3
07:30SwitzerlandProducer & Import Prices, y/yDecember5.8% 5.1%
10:00EurozoneZEW Economic SentimentJanuary26.8 49.4
10:00GermanyZEW Survey - Economic SentimentJanuary29.93251.7


USD strengthened against most of its major counterparts in the European session on Tuesday, while Treasury yields rose, as investors continued to prepare for imminent interest rate hikes in the U.S.

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), measuring the U.S. currency's value relative to a basket of foreign currencies, went up 0.17% to 95.42.

The 10-year Treasury yield rose three basis points to 1.818% in the morning, while the 2-year yield rose seven basis points to 1.030%, reflecting investors’ concerns about persistent higher inflation and potential aggressive response from the Fed, which is currently expected to hike interest rates at least three times this year. 

The Federal Reserve will meet on January 25-26, and investors expect this gathering will confirm a hawkish tilt within its policymakers, while the decision about the first rate hike is anticipated to come at the March meeting of the U.S. central bank.

According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, investors are now seeing a 93.4% chance of a rate increase in March.

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