Time | Country | Event | Period | Previous value | Forecast | Actual |
---|
06:45 | Switzerland | Unemployment Rate (non s.a.) | December | 2.5% | | 2.6% |
07:00 | Germany | Current Account | November | 17.6 | | 18.9 |
07:00 | United Kingdom | Halifax house price index | December | 1.1% | | 1.1% |
07:00 | United Kingdom | Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y | December | 8.2% | | 9.8% |
07:00 | Germany | Trade Balance (non s.a.), bln | November | 12.7 | | 12 |
07:00 | Germany | Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) | November | 2.4% | 1% | -0.2% |
07:30 | Switzerland | Retail Sales (MoM) | November | 0.6% | | 1.3% |
07:30 | Switzerland | Retail Sales Y/Y | November | 2.2% | | 5.8% |
07:45 | France | Consumer spending | November | -0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% |
07:45 | France | Trade Balance, bln | November | -7.7 | | -9.73 |
07:45 | France | Industrial Production, m/m | November | 0.9% | 0.5% | -0.4% |
08:00 | Switzerland | Foreign Currency Reserves | December | 1006.4 | | 944.532 |
During today's Asian trading, the US dollar declined slightly against most major currencies, offsetting yesterday's increase.
The ICE index, which tracks the dynamics of the dollar against six currencies (euro, swiss franc, yen, canadian dollar, pound sterling and swedish krona), fell by 0.14%.
Market participants expect the publication of a key report on the US labor market (at 13:30 GMT), which may affect the prospects for the Fed's monetary policy. It is expected that in December the nonfarm payrolls increased by 400 thousand after an increase of 210 thousand in November. Economists also expect the unemployment rate to fall to 4.1% from 4.2% in November.
The day before, data showed that weekly initial jobless claims rose by 7,000 to a seasonally adjusted 207,000. Economists had expected 197,000 applications. Meanwhile, a report from ADP, presented on Wednesday, showed that in December the number of people employed in the US private sector increased by 807 thousand (the maximum growth in 7 months). In November, employment increased by 505 thousand.
Meanwhile, the minutes of the Fed's December meeting showed that policymakers are concerned about rising inflation, which, along with a tight labor market, could lead to the Fed raising rates earlier than expected and starting to reduce its assets. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders currently estimate a 69% probability of a rate hike by at least 25 basis points at the March Fed meeting.