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Ekonomické zprávy
04.01.2022

European session review: USD appreciates as U.S. bond yields continue rising

TimeCountryEventPeriodPrevious valueForecastActual
07:00GermanyRetail sales, real adjusted November0.5%-0.5%0.6%
07:00GermanyRetail sales, real unadjusted, y/yNovember-3.3%-4.9%-0.2%
07:30SwitzerlandConsumer Price Index (MoM) December0%-0.1%-0.1%
07:30SwitzerlandConsumer Price Index (YoY)December1.5%1.6%1.5%
07:45FranceCPI, m/mDecember0.4%0.3%0.2%
07:45FranceCPI, y/yDecember2.8%2.9%2.8%
08:55GermanyUnemployment ChangeDecember-34-15-23
08:55GermanyUnemployment Rate s.a. December5.3%5.3%5.2%
09:30United KingdomConsumer credit, mlnNovember0.7060.81.2
09:30United KingdomMortgage ApprovalsNovember67.165.467
09:30United KingdomPurchasing Manager Index Manufacturing December58.157.657.9


USD rose against most of its major rivals in the European session on Tuesday, as the longer-dated U.S. bond yields continued to rise on heightened expectations that the Omicron Covid-19 variant would not have severe consequences for the economy and would not impact the Federal Reserves’ policy plans.

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), measuring the U.S. currency's value relative to a basket of foreign currencies, increased 0.18% to 96.38.

The 10-year Treasury yields rose 2 basis points to 1.654% in the morning after jumping 12 basis points to 1.632% on Monday. A big jump in longer-dated Treasury yields reflected investors’ bets on an early interest rate hike by the Fed to ease growing inflation pressures.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, market participants are now seeing a 63.2% probability that the Fed will hike its interest rates at its March gathering. A month ago, the chances of the March rate increase were seen at 27.1%. The odds of the May rate hike climbed to 76.2% from 46.4% a month ago.

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