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Ekonomické zprávy
04.01.2022

Treasury traders believe that the spread of the Omicron strain will boost inflation

Treasury traders assume that the US economy will experience increased inflationary pressure amid an increase in cases of coronavirus infection.

U.S. 10-year break-even rates - an indicator of expectations of the average inflation rate in the next 10 years - rose to the highest level since November (2.65%). The extra yield on Treasury 10-year notes over 2-years securities also jumped, indicating the bias may be switching back to a steeper yield curve.

According to official data, in November the consumer price index rose by 6.8% per annum, which is the highest value in the last 40 years. Meanwhile, the number of daily cases of coronavirus in the US has reached a new record level, which reduces the likelihood that the supply chain situation will improve in the near future.

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