Ekonomické zprávy
22.12.2021

UK GDP grew less than forecast in the 3rd quarter

According to the report from the Office for National Statistics, in the third quarter, UK GDP growth slowed to 1.1% compared to +5.4% in the second quarter (revised from +5.5%). Economists had expected a 1.3% increase. Preliminary estimates suggested GDP growth by 1.3%.

The ONS reported that despite the latest increase, the level of GDP remains 1.5% lower than in the fourth quarter of 2019 (before the outbreak of the pandemic).

Meanwhile, the data showed that in annual terms, GDP increased by 6.8% compared to +24.2% in the second quarter (revised from +23.6%). Economists had expected a 6.6% increase.

As for production volumes, the largest contribution to GDP growth (compared to the second quarter) was made by the hospitality sector, art, entertainment and recreation, which was associated with a further easing of restrictions. Household consumption grew by 2.7% QoQ and made the largest contribution to spending.

The data also showed that in the third quarter, the household savings ratio fell to 8.6% from 10.7% in the second quarter.

Separate data from the ONS showed that in the third quarter business investment fell by 2.5% compared to the second quarter and grew by 2.6% per annum. In the second quarter, an increase of 4.5% and 12.9% was recorded, respectively. Economists had expected business investment to grow by 0.4% in quarterly terms and by 0.8% per annum.

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